2023 was an historic 12 months within the historical past of the iPad though it’s not the sort of historical past that Apple desires to have a good time. For the primary time Apple let a calendar 12 months go by with out releasing a new iPad mannequin. But this has arrange 2024 to be a huge 12 months for Apple’s pill line. TF International’s Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, the person who is aware of what the soup of the day shall be within the Cupertino cafeteria two years from right now, has launched a submit about his expectations for the iPad subsequent 12 months.
Kuo writes that he expects Apple to improve current iPad fashions and launch a model new pill subsequent 12 months. The analyst repeats one thing that we have mentioned usually. Apple’s iPad shipments have declined just lately as demand from the work-from-home (WFH) crowd has dropped sharply for the reason that pandemic ended.
Kuo says that we must always count on two iPad Air tablets to be manufactured by Apple throughout the first quarter of 2024. One mannequin will function a 10.9-inch show whereas a new, bigger iPad Air pill shall be launched. This unit will sport a 12.9-inch show which will function an Oxide backplane which is similar expertise used on the 12.9-inch mini-LED iPad Pro. While Kuo does not point out it particularly, the brand new iPad Air fashions may each be powered by the M2 chipset, an improve from the M1 that runs the iPad Air (2022) pill.
The iPad Air shall be upgraded and a new, larger-screened mannequin shall be added to the road
According to the analyst, later within the first quarter, or throughout the second quarter, Apple will start mass manufacturing of two up to date iPad Pro fashions. Both will function OLED shows, an improved type issue and can run with the highly effective 3nm M3 chipset below the hood. While Apple had hoped to start out manufacturing of those tablets early within the first quarter, manufacturing points with the OLED panels have triggered a delay. Kuo provides that the OLED screens will use the identical LTPO backplane employed on the iPhone 15 Pro handsets.
Depending on how Apple costs the iPad Air sequence, it would increase the pricing of the OLED iPad Pro tablets to maintain the identical hole in pricing between the 2 traces. This can be executed, notes Kuo, provided that the ten.9-inch iPad Air is unchanged in worth and the brand new 12.9-inch mannequin is far more costly than the smaller unit.
The analyst expects shipments of the brand new OLED iPad Pro tablets to achieve 6 million to eight million items in 2024 which can be barely decrease than the deliveries tallied by the present iPad Pro fashions. Kuo blames this on the attainable increased pricing for the OLED iPad Pro tablets and attainable cannibalization by the brand new 12.9-inch iPad Air mannequin.
Kuo additionally says that mass manufacturing of the brand new iPad mini has been postpone from Q1 to the second half of subsequent 12 months which can be when the Eleventh-generation iPad shall be manufactured.
The analyst forecasts deliveries of 52 million to 54 million iPad items in 2024 in comparison with the roughly 50 million tablets shipped in 2023 and 63 million in 2022.